{"id":69,"date":"2007-06-20T21:13:03","date_gmt":"2007-06-21T02:13:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.red-bean.com\/sussman\/?p=69"},"modified":"2007-07-01T14:17:54","modified_gmt":"2007-07-01T19:17:54","slug":"the-beginning-of-the-end","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/blog.red-bean.com\/sussman\/?p=69","title":{"rendered":"The Beginning of the End"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Back in the 80&#8217;s, when I was in high school, I remember being introduced to PC clones.  The whole PC third-party market was relatively new;  IBM was the big dog, releasing new PCs (XT, AT, etc.) while a bunch of manufacturers sort of trailed behind and produced bits of cloned hardware you could use to build your own machine.  I was particularly interested in tracking the progress of graphics standards.  First IBM released &#8220;CGA graphics&#8221;, which was about 320&#215;200 resolution.  The manufacturers cloned it and started selling CGA cards.  Then IBM later released &#8220;EGA graphics&#8221;, which was higher resolution and more colors.  Again, the DIY market cloned that too&#8230; as well as the final &#8220;VGA&#8221; cards that IBM produced.<\/p>\n<p>But then, something weird happened.  This was the beginning of that famous shift where IBM started to fall, and lost its leadership position.  I remember hobbyists starting to get impatient with the VGA standard, wanting higher resolution than 640&#215;480.  So the clone market started inventing &#8216;super VGA&#8217; cards running at 1024&#215;768 resolution&#8230; all incompatible chipsets and standards, of course&#8230; but at least there was interesting competition.  Meanwhile, a year later, IBM released &#8220;XGA&#8221; as their own 1024&#215;768 standard.  And <i>everyone ignored it<\/i>.   Why?  It was technically inferior to the other SVGA standards (it used interlaced scanning, if I recall correctly.)  I remember thinking to myself, &#8220;Wow, this is a big deal.  It&#8217;s the beginning of the end for IBM.&#8221;  And I was right!  Many years and downsizings later, IBM managed to scrape through, but nobody thinks of them as a leading hardware manufacturer to imitate anymore.  They&#8217;re lean, mean, and mostly about consulting these days.  A different company.<\/p>\n<p>Well, I just had that same moment again, reading <a href=\"http:\/\/slashdot.org\/article.pl?sid=07\/06\/20\/0643241\">this slashdot article<\/a>.  Microsoft releases Vista, and <i>nothing happens<\/i>.  People aren&#8217;t upgrading.  Nobody cares.  Nobody wants it.  Users are sick of the game.  Microsoft is now begging users to upgrade.<\/p>\n<p>Read my&#8230; er, blog:  this is the beginning of the end for Microsoft.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Back in the 80&#8217;s, when I was in high school, I remember being introduced to PC clones. The whole PC third-party market was relatively new; IBM was the big dog, releasing new PCs (XT, AT, etc.) while a bunch of manufacturers sort of trailed behind and produced bits of cloned hardware you could use to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-computers"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.red-bean.com\/sussman\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.red-bean.com\/sussman\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.red-bean.com\/sussman\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.red-bean.com\/sussman\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.red-bean.com\/sussman\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=69"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/blog.red-bean.com\/sussman\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.red-bean.com\/sussman\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=69"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.red-bean.com\/sussman\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=69"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.red-bean.com\/sussman\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=69"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}